Debt ceiling deal goes to Congress

in US Policy

After intense negotiations between the White House and the House Speaker, an agreement was reached over the weekend that, if passed, would avoid a government default on US Government payments.  Last week Treasury Secretary Yellen told Congress that the X-Date for default was June 5. Now the tough part comes getting 218 votes in the House and 60 votes in …

Debt Ceiling Talks Continue

May 26, 2023 in US Policy

Talks between the White House and the House Republicans were continuing as of Friday afternoon. While there have been reports of progress, no deal has been struck. The outlines of a deal have been discussed for a while and include some sort of budget cap for the next fiscal year, permitting reform for energy projects, and clawing back to the …

Debt ceiling remains issue 1; FOMC minutes

in US Policy

Washington continues to struggle to find a resolution of the debt ceiling, which threatens to cause a meltdown of financial markets if the United States doesn’t pay all its bills.  Last week witnessed on and off talks between House Republicans and the White House.  Friday morning the Republicans paused the talks for lack of progress, but then the negotiations were …

Debt Ceiling Talks Hit Pause

May 19, 2023 in US Policy

At noon on Friday, Republicans conducting the debt-ceiling negotiations with the White House announced that they had hit the “pause button,” stating they were frustrated with the positions taken by the White House team.  This follows a rise in optimism on Thursday when Speaker McCarthy told reporters he saw a pathway to a deal.  What happened? As I have been …

Debt ceiling dominates DC debate

in US Policy

Obviously, there is one huge issue in DC – the debt ceiling.  Last week the President invited the bipartisan Congressional leadership to the White House for the first face to face meeting between Biden and McCarthy since February. While the meeting didn’t seem to move the needle, the leaders all agreed that their staff would meet to see if they …

Debt Ceiling DC Focus

May 12, 2023 in US Policy

The week started with the Congressional leadership going to the White House to meet with President Biden about the debt ceiling. While there was little visible progress, all sides agreed that their respective staffs would start to meet. It was initially announced that there would be a follow-up meeting at the White House on Friday. Staffs met at the Capitol …

Debt ceiling and future Fed policy

May 8, 2023 in US Policy

The need to increase the debt ceiling has emerged as the top issue in DC.  The Congressional deadlock took on new urgency last week when Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen surprised markets and political leaders when she put out a statement that the X-date for Treasury funding may be as early as June 1.  This leaves only three weeks for Washington …

Debt Ceiling and FOMC Lead Week

May 5, 2023 in US Policy

Last week, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen surprised markets and political leaders when she informed Congress that the X Date for Treasury funding may be as early as June 1.  This leaves only three weeks for Washington to find an exit strategy for the government hitting the statutory debt ceiling. Under Speaker McCarthy, the House Republicans were able to eke out …

Debt ceiling and FOMC DC focus

May 1, 2023 in US Policy

Last week House Republicans narrowly passed their debt ceiling and spending reduction proposal.  The legislation increased the debt limit by $1.5T, or until April 1, 2024, whichever comes first.  Since many Republicans generally oppose increasing the debt ceiling, the Republican Leadership combined the $1.5T ceiling increase with proposed cuts that would total $4.5T over a ten-year period.  In fact, the day …

House Narrowly Approves Debt-Ceiling Bill

April 28, 2023 in US Policy

This past week House Republicans narrowly passed their proposal to increase the debt ceiling until April 1, 2024.  The proposal would increase the debt ceiling by $1.5T and be linked to proposed cuts that would total over $4.5T over a 10-year period. In fact, the day before the vote, the Republican leadership got a big boost when the non-partisan Congressional Budget …