Technical Strategy - Mark L. Newton, CMT

Technical analysis tracks price movement, volume, seasonality, sentiment, and trading flows to identify and project price trends, targets, and exhaustion. Used to seek out attractive risk/reward opportunities and highlight up/down trends in equities, treasuries, currencies, commodities and cryptocurrencies, technical analysis is fundamentals-agnostic and uses the following methodologies.

About the Strategist

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Mark L. Newton, CMT – Head of Technical Strategy

As former managing member/owner of Newton Advisors LLC, Mark has more than 25 years of buy-side and sell-side experience in finance. Before Fundstrat, he worked with Diamondback Capital Management, and with Morgan Stanley in New York City as their technical strategist. Mark has traded equity options as a market maker/floor trader on the CBOE, and worked in risk management. He is a member of the Market Technicians Association, and former member of the CBOE, CBOT, and PHLX. Mark makes regular appearances on CNBC, FOX Business, and Bloomberg. Mark graduated with a BS in Finance from Virginia Tech in 1991, and obtained his Chartered Market Technician designation in 2002.

Our Approach

Trend Identification

On a daily, weekly, and monthly basis

Structural Analysis

Looking at former highs and lows as potentially important for resistance and/or support in trading over multiple time frames

Trendline Utilization

Drawing trendlines extending from the lowest lows to the low preceding the highest highs

Fibonacci Analysis

Using the concept of Fibonacci for retracements in both time and price terms for identifying possible areas of exhaustion

Momentum Analysis

Seeking stocks exhibiting positive momentum for long investments over multiple time frames

Volume Analysis

Noting heavy volume, or lack thereof, in conjunction with price gains to track the duration of a trend

Breadth

Studying the underlying health of a market, especially for broader indices

Ratio charts

Comparing a stock to its industry and/or to an underlying index, such as SPX

Relative Strength

Seeking out stocks exhibiting stellar strength and trading at/within striking distance of 52-week highs (for long stock selection)

Counter-Trend Analysis

Using Tom DeMark's indicators, such as TD Sequential and TD Combo, to identify strong trends possibly on the verge of reversing course: downside to upside or vice-versa

Cycles

Using cycle composites to understand the most commonly seen cycles dictating patterns of low-to-low or high-to-high to help identify highs and lows price-wise

Elliott Wave Theory

Elliott Wave projections can help forecast price targets, using previous highs/lows to identify whether a rally is new and impulsive or represents a counter-trend move

Astro-Analysis

Using cycles of the sun, moon, and the planets to pinpoint highs, lows, and trends for stocks and indices, both from a transiting to transiting standpoint, or transits to natal charts for analysis

Seasonality Studies

Seasonality studies to identify times of above-average strength and/or weakness based on historical trends

Sentiment Analysis

Using equity put/call ratios for indices or stocks and/or commonly used sentiment polls to track investor sentiment.

Research and Coverage

Reports

Daily Technical Strategy

Every day, we deliver precise strategies derived from technical analysis, guiding you on potential market moves and insights to position accordingly.

XLK breakout bodes well for Technology ETF to test all-time highs

Short-term trends in US Equities remain bullish, and despite some slowing in the breadth and momentum that has taken place in the last few weeks, uptrends remain intact. Moreover, I believe Tuesday’s breakout bodes well for a likely challenge of all-time highs in...

ANET
AVGO
ENPH
EURUSD
FSLR
GBPUSD
IWM
MCHP
ON
RSP
USDJPY
Mark L. Newton, CMT - June 3, 2025

⚡️FlashInsights

In these rapid updates, our expert analysts provide insights on immediate market changes and technical patterns, ensuring you are always one step ahead in the fast-paced world of trading.

Mark L. Newton, CMT
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

US Treasury yields are also breaking down today, $TNX the US 10-Year Treasury Note yield has undercut the lows of the last couple weeks along with an uptrend from early April. Movement under 4.39% should kick off a pullback into the month...

May 30
12:49 PM
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Friday's other important development centers on the breakdown in WTI Crude under $60 in July 2025 Crude futures which has happened in the last 20 minutes. Technically i expect this to jumpstart a pullback to test and undercut May lows of 55.30...

May 30
12:42 PM

Weekly Roadmap

End your week with our "Weekly Roadmap", a summary that encapsulates our expert views and closing remarks for the week. This digest is crafted to bring all market happenings and our insights into one coherent context, ensuring you're well-informed and ready for the week ahead.

Stocks Still in V-Shaped Recovery As Courts Weigh Trump Tariffs

"Many of us would probably be better fishermen if we did not spend so much time watching and waiting for the world to become perfect." ― Norman Maclean, A River Runs Through It and Other Stories

May 30, 2025

Media

Daily Technicals Video

Our webinars bring you face-to-face with our experts as they share the latest market trends and technical analysis, offering an opportunity to clarify your queries in real-time.

XLK breakout bodes well for Technology ETF to test all-time highs

Short-term trends in US Equities remain bullish, and despite some slowing in the breadth and momentum that has taken place in the last few weeks, uptrends remain intact. Moreover, I believe Tuesday’s breakout bodes well for a likely challenge of all-time highs in...

ANET
AVGO
ENPH
EURUSD
FSLR
GBPUSD
IWM
MCHP
ON
RSP
USDJPY
Mark L. Newton, CMT - June 3, 2025

Annual Outlook

At the start of each year, our annual outlook provides a comprehensive analysis of existing and potential U.S. policies, forecasting their impact on financial markets and offering actionable strategies for the year ahead.

Mon, Apr 7 4:30 PM ET

Markets in Turmoil: Assessing Where Things Stand

Join us on Monday, April 7 at 4:30 pm ET for a live market update webinar with Fundstrat’s Head of Research, Tom Lee.

Tom Lee
Thomas Lee, CFA

Head of Research

Tom Lee
Mark L. Newton, CMT

Head of Technical Strategy

Tom Lee
L. Thomas Block

Washington Policy Strategist

Archives

Appearances Media Archives

Our researchers frequently appear across various media outlets, sharing their technical analysis and market insights. Our extensive archive ensures you have access to these valuable resources at your fingertips.

What is mean reversion and how to use it

4 months ago

CNBC Media Archives

We understand the importance of media in shaping market perceptions. Our archive of CNBC appearances provides a rich resource of insights shared by our researchers on this prestigious platform.

Long-term market trends remain in very good shape, says Fundstrat’s Mark Newton

4 months ago

Sample Reports

Technical Writeups of Super Granny-shot picks

Summary: I continue to see the US stock market as being attractive, technically speaking, and do not feel sufficient risk is there to warrant a selloff at this time. While price action has been a bit more subdued...

ANET
CDNS
CRM
META
NVDA
March 21, 2024
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

February 2024 Technical Outlook

FOR FULL REPORT, PLEASE CLICK HERE. WHAT LESSONS WE LEARNED FROM JANUARY: * SPX, NASDAQ rally back to new all-time highs was certainly a bullish development despite some evidence of breadth waning.  Equal-weighted SPX, Russell 3k, nor Small...

February 5, 2024
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Latest Publications

XLK breakout bodes well for Technology ETF to test all-time highs

Short-term trends in US Equities remain bullish, and despite some slowing in the breadth and momentum that has taken place in the last few weeks, uptrends remain intact. Moreover, I believe Tuesday’s breakout bodes well for a likely challenge...

ANET
AVGO
ENPH
EURUSD
FSLR
GBPUSD
IWM
MCHP
ON
RSP
USDJPY
June 3, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Seasonality tendencies might result in a stalling out after rally this week

Short-term trends in US Equities remain bullish, and despite some slowing in the breadth and momentum that has taken place in the last few weeks, uptrends remain intact.  While a rally over February peaks should happen this Summer,...

AGQ
COPX
CPER
FCX
SILJ
SLV
June 2, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Best SPX month of gains since May 2023 bodes well for further progress

Short-term trends in US Equities remain bullish, and despite some slowing in the breadth and momentum that has taken place in the last few weeks, uptrends remain intact.  While a rally over February peaks should happen this Summer,...

BDX
COO
LLY
MAGS
QQQ
RSP
RSPH
SPX
TMO
UNH
May 30, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Gold on the verge of another breakout as Yields and US Dollar start to turn lower

Short-term trends in US Equities remain bullish, and despite some slowing in the breadth and momentum that has taken place in the last few weeks, uptrends remain intact.  While a rally over February peaks should happen this Summer,...

NVDA
QQQ
SPX
TSLA
May 29, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

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