Technical Strategy - Mark L. Newton, CMT

Technical analysis tracks price movement, volume, seasonality, sentiment, and trading flows to identify and project price trends, targets, and exhaustion. Used to seek out attractive risk/reward opportunities and highlight up/down trends in equities, treasuries, currencies, commodities and cryptocurrencies, technical analysis is fundamentals-agnostic and uses the following methodologies.

About the Strategist

leadership image

Mark L. Newton, CMT – Head of Technical Strategy

As former managing member/owner of Newton Advisors LLC, Mark has more than 25 years of buy-side and sell-side experience in finance. Before Fundstrat, he worked with Diamondback Capital Management, and with Morgan Stanley in New York City as their technical strategist. Mark has traded equity options as a market maker/floor trader on the CBOE, and worked in risk management. He is a member of the Market Technicians Association, and former member of the CBOE, CBOT, and PHLX. Mark makes regular appearances on CNBC, FOX Business, and Bloomberg. Mark graduated with a BS in Finance from Virginia Tech in 1991, and obtained his Chartered Market Technician designation in 2002.

Our Approach

Trend Identification

On a daily, weekly, and monthly basis

Structural Analysis

Looking at former highs and lows as potentially important for resistance and/or support in trading over multiple time frames

Trendline Utilization

Drawing trendlines extending from the lowest lows to the low preceding the highest highs

Fibonacci Analysis

Using the concept of Fibonacci for retracements in both time and price terms for identifying possible areas of exhaustion

Momentum Analysis

Seeking stocks exhibiting positive momentum for long investments over multiple time frames

Volume Analysis

Noting heavy volume, or lack thereof, in conjunction with price gains to track the duration of a trend

Breadth

Studying the underlying health of a market, especially for broader indices

Ratio charts

Comparing a stock to its industry and/or to an underlying index, such as SPX

Relative Strength

Seeking out stocks exhibiting stellar strength and trading at/within striking distance of 52-week highs (for long stock selection)

Counter-Trend Analysis

Using Tom DeMark's indicators, such as TD Sequential and TD Combo, to identify strong trends possibly on the verge of reversing course: downside to upside or vice-versa

Cycles

Using cycle composites to understand the most commonly seen cycles dictating patterns of low-to-low or high-to-high to help identify highs and lows price-wise

Elliott Wave Theory

Elliott Wave projections can help forecast price targets, using previous highs/lows to identify whether a rally is new and impulsive or represents a counter-trend move

Astro-Analysis

Using cycles of the sun, moon, and the planets to pinpoint highs, lows, and trends for stocks and indices, both from a transiting to transiting standpoint, or transits to natal charts for analysis

Seasonality Studies

Seasonality studies to identify times of above-average strength and/or weakness based on historical trends

Sentiment Analysis

Using equity put/call ratios for indices or stocks and/or commonly used sentiment polls to track investor sentiment.

Research and Coverage

Reports

Daily Technical Strategy

Every day, we deliver precise strategies derived from technical analysis, guiding you on potential market moves and insights to position accordingly.

SPX, QQQ Breakdown brings test of March lows into play

Unfortunately, Friday’s breakdown can’t be considered anything but negative, and this damage needs to be recouped right away on Monday to prevent a retest of March lows. Technology, in particular, has pulled back to a “Make-or-Break” level when eyeing QQQ along with SOX,...

RSPG
RSPT
SOXX
Mark L. Newton, CMT - March 28, 2025

⚡️FlashInsights

In these rapid updates, our expert analysts provide insights on immediate market changes and technical patterns, ensuring you are always one step ahead in the fast-paced world of trading.

Mark L. Newton, CMT
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Despite this sharp correction since Europe's close, there hasn't been meaningful deterioration inn the trend. Both SPY and QQQ have undercut Monday's lows to "fill the gap" from last Friday to Monday's move, something which creates a more attractive risk/reward situation. Note,...

Mar 26
3:18 PM
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

A look at relative relationships between $SPY to Europe's $VGK, or the World index ETF ACWI, or to China's $FXI all look similar. Meaningful short-term deterioration from late December which did break 2 year uptrends but has now given way to a...

Mar 26
12:11 PM

Weekly Roadmap

End your week with our "Weekly Roadmap", a summary that encapsulates our expert views and closing remarks for the week. This digest is crafted to bring all market happenings and our insights into one coherent context, ensuring you're well-informed and ready for the week ahead.

V-Shaped Recovery Feasible Despite Stock Decline

Last week's rally extended into the early part of this week before sputtering out midweek, dragged by auto tariffs and a slide in consumer confidence. The declines accelerated Friday after the release of weakened consumer sentiment data. Though...

ACWI
SPY
March 28, 2025

Media

Daily Technicals Video

Our webinars bring you face-to-face with our experts as they share the latest market trends and technical analysis, offering an opportunity to clarify your queries in real-time.

SPX, QQQ Breakdown brings test of March lows into play

Unfortunately, Friday’s breakdown can’t be considered anything but negative, and this damage needs to be recouped right away on Monday to prevent a retest of March lows. Technology, in particular, has pulled back to a “Make-or-Break” level when eyeing QQQ along with SOX,...

RSPG
RSPT
SOXX
Mark L. Newton, CMT - March 28, 2025

Annual Outlook

At the start of each year, our annual outlook provides a comprehensive analysis of existing and potential U.S. policies, forecasting their impact on financial markets and offering actionable strategies for the year ahead.

Wed, Feb 19 11:00 AM ET

Market Update and "Super & Sleeper Grannies" Return

Join us for a live webinar and interactive Q&A with Tom Lee and Mark Newton. This event will include a comprehensive market update, timely stock and sector ideas, as well as...

Tom Lee
Thomas Lee, CFA

Head of Research

Tom Lee
Mark L. Newton, CMT

Head of Technical Strategy

Archives

Appearances Media Archives

Our researchers frequently appear across various media outlets, sharing their technical analysis and market insights. Our extensive archive ensures you have access to these valuable resources at your fingertips.

What is mean reversion and how to use it

2 months ago

CNBC Media Archives

We understand the importance of media in shaping market perceptions. Our archive of CNBC appearances provides a rich resource of insights shared by our researchers on this prestigious platform.

Long-term market trends remain in very good shape, says Fundstrat’s Mark Newton

2 months ago

Sample Reports

Technical Writeups of Super Granny-shot picks

Summary: I continue to see the US stock market as being attractive, technically speaking, and do not feel sufficient risk is there to warrant a selloff at this time. While price action has been a bit more subdued...

ANET
CDNS
CRM
META
NVDA
March 21, 2024
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

February 2024 Technical Outlook

FOR FULL REPORT, PLEASE CLICK HERE. WHAT LESSONS WE LEARNED FROM JANUARY: * SPX, NASDAQ rally back to new all-time highs was certainly a bullish development despite some evidence of breadth waning.  Equal-weighted SPX, Russell 3k, nor Small...

February 5, 2024
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Latest Publications

SPX, QQQ Breakdown brings test of March lows into play

Unfortunately, Friday’s breakdown can’t be considered anything but negative, and this damage needs to be recouped right away on Monday to prevent a retest of March lows. Technology, in particular, has pulled back to a “Make-or-Break” level when eyeing...

RSPG
RSPT
SOXX
March 28, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Silver could start to play Catchup to Gold and both appear attractive

Near-term Equity index trends remain bullish as the two-day minor pullback has done little to damage the trend from 3/13/25 lows. My expectation is a rally into month/quarter-end, which could lift SPX up to 5830 initially. Despite some investors expressing...

GLD
SLV
March 27, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

March 2025 Technical Outlook

FOR FULL REPORT, PLEASE CLICK HERE.

March 27, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Rally likely gains steam after 4/2, but still underway despite the skeptics

Near-term Equity index trends remain bullish despite Wednesday’s pullback and will likely push higher into the end of the month and quarter. Despite some investors expressing skepticism about this rally being just a “Dead-Cat Bounce,” there are ample technical...

AAPL
AMZN
AVGO
IGV
MAGS
META
MSFT
NFLX
NVDA
QQQ
SOXX
SPY
TSLA
TSM
March 26, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Book a Meeting

contact side image

Our dedicated sales team stands by, eager to facilitate a phone meeting. Have your questions answered firsthand and obtain insights directly from the source.

This is your default error. :)