Technical Strategy - Mark L. Newton, CMT

Technical analysis tracks price movement, volume, seasonality, sentiment, and trading flows to identify and project price trends, targets, and exhaustion. Used to seek out attractive risk/reward opportunities and highlight up/down trends in equities, treasuries, currencies, commodities and cryptocurrencies, technical analysis is fundamentals-agnostic and uses the following methodologies.

About the Strategist

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Mark L. Newton, CMT – Head of Technical Strategy

As former managing member/owner of Newton Advisors LLC, Mark has more than 25 years of buy-side and sell-side experience in finance. Before Fundstrat, he worked with Diamondback Capital Management, and with Morgan Stanley in New York City as their technical strategist. Mark has traded equity options as a market maker/floor trader on the CBOE, and worked in risk management. He is a member of the Market Technicians Association, and former member of the CBOE, CBOT, and PHLX. Mark makes regular appearances on CNBC, FOX Business, and Bloomberg. Mark graduated with a BS in Finance from Virginia Tech in 1991, and obtained his Chartered Market Technician designation in 2002.

Our Approach

Trend Identification

On a daily, weekly, and monthly basis

Structural Analysis

Looking at former highs and lows as potentially important for resistance and/or support in trading over multiple time frames

Trendline Utilization

Drawing trendlines extending from the lowest lows to the low preceding the highest highs

Fibonacci Analysis

Using the concept of Fibonacci for retracements in both time and price terms for identifying possible areas of exhaustion

Momentum Analysis

Seeking stocks exhibiting positive momentum for long investments over multiple time frames

Volume Analysis

Noting heavy volume, or lack thereof, in conjunction with price gains to track the duration of a trend

Breadth

Studying the underlying health of a market, especially for broader indices

Ratio charts

Comparing a stock to its industry and/or to an underlying index, such as SPX

Relative Strength

Seeking out stocks exhibiting stellar strength and trading at/within striking distance of 52-week highs (for long stock selection)

Counter-Trend Analysis

Using Tom DeMark's indicators, such as TD Sequential and TD Combo, to identify strong trends possibly on the verge of reversing course: downside to upside or vice-versa

Cycles

Using cycle composites to understand the most commonly seen cycles dictating patterns of low-to-low or high-to-high to help identify highs and lows price-wise

Elliott Wave Theory

Elliott Wave projections can help forecast price targets, using previous highs/lows to identify whether a rally is new and impulsive or represents a counter-trend move

Astro-Analysis

Using cycles of the sun, moon, and the planets to pinpoint highs, lows, and trends for stocks and indices, both from a transiting to transiting standpoint, or transits to natal charts for analysis

Seasonality Studies

Seasonality studies to identify times of above-average strength and/or weakness based on historical trends

Sentiment Analysis

Using equity put/call ratios for indices or stocks and/or commonly used sentiment polls to track investor sentiment.

Research and Coverage

Reports

Daily Technical Strategy

Every day, we deliver precise strategies derived from technical analysis, guiding you on potential market moves and insights to position accordingly.

Healthcare, Financials & Industrials comeback has been constructive

SPX’s technical trend, breadth, and momentum began to turn more bullish late last week, and the move above SPX 6021 suggests a likely push to much higher levels into mid-February.  Technically, short-term trends (between now and the end of January) likely will...

A
ABT
BAX
BDX
BSX
DVA
EW
HOLX
IDXX
ISRG
LLY
MDT
RMD
RSP
RSPH
SLV
STE
SYK
TFX
VRTX
WAT
ZBH
Mark L. Newton, CMT - January 21, 2025

⚡️FlashInsights

In these rapid updates, our expert analysts provide insights on immediate market changes and technical patterns, ensuring you are always one step ahead in the fast-paced world of trading.

Mark L. Newton, CMT
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

$AAPL decline today is a minor negative given its weight within $SPX and $QQQ and as daily charts show, the stock is set to make the lowest daily close since mid-November. Given AAPL's importance within SPX, this stock remains important to concentrate...

Jan 16
12:30 PM
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

S&P has begun to stall after the bounce from earlier this week. The area at 5980-90 lies near trendline resistance and it's thought that this should be important and then 6021 will be important to exceed to confirm. All 11 sectors are...

Jan 16
12:30 PM

Weekly Roadmap

End your week with our "Weekly Roadmap", a summary that encapsulates our expert views and closing remarks for the week. This digest is crafted to bring all market happenings and our insights into one coherent context, ensuring you're well-informed and ready for the week ahead.

Stocks Reverse Early 2025 Losses

Softer-than-expected economic data and strong bank earnings drove the stock market this week to reverse all of its early 2025 losses. The S&P 500 is up about 2% this year.

January 17, 2025

Media

Daily Technicals Video

Our webinars bring you face-to-face with our experts as they share the latest market trends and technical analysis, offering an opportunity to clarify your queries in real-time.

Healthcare, Financials & Industrials comeback has been constructive

SPX’s technical trend, breadth, and momentum began to turn more bullish late last week, and the move above SPX 6021 suggests a likely push to much higher levels into mid-February.  Technically, short-term trends (between now and the end of January) likely will...

A
ABT
BAX
BDX
BSX
DVA
EW
HOLX
IDXX
ISRG
LLY
MDT
RMD
RSP
RSPH
SLV
STE
SYK
TFX
VRTX
WAT
ZBH
Mark L. Newton, CMT - January 21, 2025

Annual Outlook

At the start of each year, our annual outlook provides a comprehensive analysis of existing and potential U.S. policies, forecasting their impact on financial markets and offering actionable strategies for the year ahead.

Archives

Appearances Media Archives

Our researchers frequently appear across various media outlets, sharing their technical analysis and market insights. Our extensive archive ensures you have access to these valuable resources at your fingertips.

Podcast: US Markets Wrap: Nvidia to rally further into its stock split

7 months ago

CNBC Media Archives

We understand the importance of media in shaping market perceptions. Our archive of CNBC appearances provides a rich resource of insights shared by our researchers on this prestigious platform.

Podcast: US Markets Wrap: Nvidia to rally further into its stock split

7 months ago

Sample Reports

Technical Writeups of Super Granny-shot picks

Summary: I continue to see the US stock market as being attractive, technically speaking, and do not feel sufficient risk is there to warrant a selloff at this time. While price action has been a bit more subdued...

ANET
CDNS
CRM
META
NVDA
March 21, 2024
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

February 2024 Technical Outlook

FOR FULL REPORT, PLEASE CLICK HERE. WHAT LESSONS WE LEARNED FROM JANUARY: * SPX, NASDAQ rally back to new all-time highs was certainly a bullish development despite some evidence of breadth waning.  Equal-weighted SPX, Russell 3k, nor Small...

February 5, 2024
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Latest Publications

Healthcare, Financials & Industrials comeback has been constructive

SPX’s technical trend, breadth, and momentum began to turn more bullish late last week, and the move above SPX 6021 suggests a likely push to much higher levels into mid-February.  Technically, short-term trends (between now and the end...

A
ABT
BAX
BDX
BSX
DVA
EW
HOLX
IDXX
ISRG
LLY
MDT
RMD
RSP
RSPH
SLV
STE
SYK
TFX
VRTX
WAT
ZBH
January 21, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

SPX’s progress Friday has helped to turn the 1-month trend more positive

SPX’s technical trend and momentum have begun to turn higher following a choppy six-week consolidation since early December 2024.   In recent days, Treasury Yields have shown evidence of turning lower, market breadth has improved, along with the Financials...

AAPL
AMAT
ASML
IGV
KLAC
LRCX
RSP
SOX
SPX
SPY
January 17, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

See AAPL’s weakness as a temporary thorn in the side to SPX’s breakout attempt

SPX’s technical trend and momentum have remained negative since early December 2024, but the post-CPI bounce in Equities has brought the price to near-important resistance, which will provide some clues/confirmation bearish over the next 3-4 days as to...

AAPL
QQQ
RSP
SPX
TNX
January 16, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Impressive breadth reading, but price requires a bit more strength

SPX’s technical trend and momentum have remained negative since early December 2024, but the post-CPI bounce in Equities has brought the price to near-important resistance, which will provide some clues/confirmation of a bearish trend over the next 3-4...

AXP
BRK
GS
JPM
MS
RSPF
January 15, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

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