Technical Strategy - Mark L. Newton, CMT

Technical analysis tracks price movement, volume, seasonality, sentiment, and trading flows to identify and project price trends, targets, and exhaustion. Used to seek out attractive risk/reward opportunities and highlight up/down trends in equities, treasuries, currencies, commodities and cryptocurrencies, technical analysis is fundamentals-agnostic and uses the following methodologies.

About the Strategist

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Mark L. Newton, CMT – Head of Technical Strategy

As former managing member/owner of Newton Advisors LLC, Mark has more than 25 years of buy-side and sell-side experience in finance. Before Fundstrat, he worked with Diamondback Capital Management, and with Morgan Stanley in New York City as their technical strategist. Mark has traded equity options as a market maker/floor trader on the CBOE, and worked in risk management. He is a member of the Market Technicians Association, and former member of the CBOE, CBOT, and PHLX. Mark makes regular appearances on CNBC, FOX Business, and Bloomberg. Mark graduated with a BS in Finance from Virginia Tech in 1991, and obtained his Chartered Market Technician designation in 2002.

Our Approach

Trend Identification

On a daily, weekly, and monthly basis

Structural Analysis

Looking at former highs and lows as potentially important for resistance and/or support in trading over multiple time frames

Trendline Utilization

Drawing trendlines extending from the lowest lows to the low preceding the highest highs

Fibonacci Analysis

Using the concept of Fibonacci for retracements in both time and price terms for identifying possible areas of exhaustion

Momentum Analysis

Seeking stocks exhibiting positive momentum for long investments over multiple time frames

Volume Analysis

Noting heavy volume, or lack thereof, in conjunction with price gains to track the duration of a trend

Breadth

Studying the underlying health of a market, especially for broader indices

Ratio charts

Comparing a stock to its industry and/or to an underlying index, such as SPX

Relative Strength

Seeking out stocks exhibiting stellar strength and trading at/within striking distance of 52-week highs (for long stock selection)

Counter-Trend Analysis

Using Tom DeMark's indicators, such as TD Sequential and TD Combo, to identify strong trends possibly on the verge of reversing course: downside to upside or vice-versa

Cycles

Using cycle composites to understand the most commonly seen cycles dictating patterns of low-to-low or high-to-high to help identify highs and lows price-wise

Elliott Wave Theory

Elliott Wave projections can help forecast price targets, using previous highs/lows to identify whether a rally is new and impulsive or represents a counter-trend move

Astro-Analysis

Using cycles of the sun, moon, and the planets to pinpoint highs, lows, and trends for stocks and indices, both from a transiting to transiting standpoint, or transits to natal charts for analysis

Seasonality Studies

Seasonality studies to identify times of above-average strength and/or weakness based on historical trends

Sentiment Analysis

Using equity put/call ratios for indices or stocks and/or commonly used sentiment polls to track investor sentiment.

Research and Coverage

Reports

Daily Technical Strategy

Every day, we deliver precise strategies derived from technical analysis, guiding you on potential market moves and insights to position accordingly.

Can this rally in Food Stocks lead Staples to outperform Discretionary?

Short-term trends from January lows remain bullish but have shown some consolidation this week, which has brought the price down from the highs of the most recent range down to test important trendline support. Treasuries and Cryptocurrencies have begun to bounce further in...

ADM
BF
HSY
MAGS
RSP
RSPD
RSPS
Mark L. Newton, CMT - February 21, 2025

⚡️FlashInsights

In these rapid updates, our expert analysts provide insights on immediate market changes and technical patterns, ensuring you are always one step ahead in the fast-paced world of trading.

Mark L. Newton, CMT
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

My technical thoughts are that this breakout should be led by Big-Cap Technology and $QQQ looks to the leader over $SPY as well as $RSP. Furthermore, $SPY looks to lead $RSP in relative strength until potentially mid-year, based on my interpretation of...

Feb 14
12:01 PM
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

$QQQ has also broken out after two months of churning. This should lead back to 548 initially, and eventually up to near 565-70.

Feb 13
4:09 PM

Weekly Roadmap

End your week with our "Weekly Roadmap", a summary that encapsulates our expert views and closing remarks for the week. This digest is crafted to bring all market happenings and our insights into one coherent context, ensuring you're well-informed and ready for the week ahead.

Investors Chant ‘Buy the Dip’

A good week for the stock market quickly turned sour after earnings disappointed from retail giant Walmart and reports emerged of a Department of Justice probe into UnitedHealth Group. 

February 21, 2025

Media

Daily Technicals Video

Our webinars bring you face-to-face with our experts as they share the latest market trends and technical analysis, offering an opportunity to clarify your queries in real-time.

Can this rally in Food Stocks lead Staples to outperform Discretionary?

Short-term trends from January lows remain bullish but have shown some consolidation this week, which has brought the price down from the highs of the most recent range down to test important trendline support. Treasuries and Cryptocurrencies have begun to bounce further in...

ADM
BF
HSY
MAGS
RSP
RSPD
RSPS
Mark L. Newton, CMT - February 21, 2025

Annual Outlook

At the start of each year, our annual outlook provides a comprehensive analysis of existing and potential U.S. policies, forecasting their impact on financial markets and offering actionable strategies for the year ahead.

Wed, Feb 19 11:00 AM ET

Market Update and "Super & Sleeper Grannies" Return

Join us for a live webinar and interactive Q&A with Tom Lee and Mark Newton. This event will include a comprehensive market update, timely stock and sector ideas, as well as...

Tom Lee
Thomas Lee, CFA

Head of Research

Tom Lee
Mark L. Newton, CMT

Head of Technical Strategy

Archives

Appearances Media Archives

Our researchers frequently appear across various media outlets, sharing their technical analysis and market insights. Our extensive archive ensures you have access to these valuable resources at your fingertips.

What is mean reversion and how to use it

1 month ago

CNBC Media Archives

We understand the importance of media in shaping market perceptions. Our archive of CNBC appearances provides a rich resource of insights shared by our researchers on this prestigious platform.

Long-term market trends remain in very good shape, says Fundstrat’s Mark Newton

1 month ago

Sample Reports

Technical Writeups of Super Granny-shot picks

Summary: I continue to see the US stock market as being attractive, technically speaking, and do not feel sufficient risk is there to warrant a selloff at this time. While price action has been a bit more subdued...

ANET
CDNS
CRM
META
NVDA
March 21, 2024
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

February 2024 Technical Outlook

FOR FULL REPORT, PLEASE CLICK HERE. WHAT LESSONS WE LEARNED FROM JANUARY: * SPX, NASDAQ rally back to new all-time highs was certainly a bullish development despite some evidence of breadth waning.  Equal-weighted SPX, Russell 3k, nor Small...

February 5, 2024
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Latest Publications

Can this rally in Food Stocks lead Staples to outperform Discretionary?

Short-term trends from January lows remain bullish but have shown some consolidation this week, which has brought the price down from the highs of the most recent range down to test important trendline support. Treasuries and Cryptocurrencies have begun...

ADM
BF
HSY
MAGS
RSP
RSPD
RSPS
February 21, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

European outperformance likely due to slow with STOXX 50 at all-time highs

Short-term trends are bullish but extended following the recent pushback to new all-time highs for SPX and QQQ, while many other indices failed to participate.  While DJIA, RSP, and IWM should eventually begin a similar move back to...

EZU
SILJ
SLV
SPY
XLK
February 20, 2025
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Minor consolidation in Large-cap Technology possible ahead of broad-based breakout

Short-term trends are bullish but extended following the recent pushback to new all-time highs for SPX and QQQ, while many other indices failed to participate. While DJIA, RSP, and IWM should eventually begin a similar move back to new...

AMAT
ANET
AVGO
BOIL
CDNS
FI
INTC
JPM
LLY
META
MSI
NFLX
NG
PLTR
RSP
RSPT
SNPS
UNG
V
WMT
XLK
ZBRA
February 19, 2025
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Super SMID & Top Stock Technicals

Short-term trends are bullish as SPX and QQQ have finally broken out of their respective triangle consolidation patterns, which had been established roughly three months ago, and both SPX and QQQ made new all-time highs and all-time daily...

AMZN
APP
CVNA
IBKR
JPM
META
SPOT
February 19, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

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