Technical Strategy - Mark L. Newton, CMT

Technical analysis tracks price movement, volume, seasonality, sentiment, and trading flows to identify and project price trends, targets, and exhaustion. Used to seek out attractive risk/reward opportunities and highlight up/down trends in equities, treasuries, currencies, commodities and cryptocurrencies, technical analysis is fundamentals-agnostic and uses the following methodologies.

About the Strategist

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Mark L. Newton, CMT – Head of Technical Strategy

As former managing member/owner of Newton Advisors LLC, Mark has more than 25 years of buy-side and sell-side experience in finance. Before Fundstrat, he worked with Diamondback Capital Management, and with Morgan Stanley in New York City as their technical strategist. Mark has traded equity options as a market maker/floor trader on the CBOE, and worked in risk management. He is a member of the Market Technicians Association, and former member of the CBOE, CBOT, and PHLX. Mark makes regular appearances on CNBC, FOX Business, and Bloomberg. Mark graduated with a BS in Finance from Virginia Tech in 1991, and obtained his Chartered Market Technician designation in 2002.

Our Approach

Trend Identification

On a daily, weekly, and monthly basis

Structural Analysis

Looking at former highs and lows as potentially important for resistance and/or support in trading over multiple time frames

Trendline Utilization

Drawing trendlines extending from the lowest lows to the low preceding the highest highs

Fibonacci Analysis

Using the concept of Fibonacci for retracements in both time and price terms for identifying possible areas of exhaustion

Momentum Analysis

Seeking stocks exhibiting positive momentum for long investments over multiple time frames

Volume Analysis

Noting heavy volume, or lack thereof, in conjunction with price gains to track the duration of a trend

Breadth

Studying the underlying health of a market, especially for broader indices

Ratio charts

Comparing a stock to its industry and/or to an underlying index, such as SPX

Relative Strength

Seeking out stocks exhibiting stellar strength and trading at/within striking distance of 52-week highs (for long stock selection)

Counter-Trend Analysis

Using Tom DeMark's indicators, such as TD Sequential and TD Combo, to identify strong trends possibly on the verge of reversing course: downside to upside or vice-versa

Cycles

Using cycle composites to understand the most commonly seen cycles dictating patterns of low-to-low or high-to-high to help identify highs and lows price-wise

Elliott Wave Theory

Elliott Wave projections can help forecast price targets, using previous highs/lows to identify whether a rally is new and impulsive or represents a counter-trend move

Astro-Analysis

Using cycles of the sun, moon, and the planets to pinpoint highs, lows, and trends for stocks and indices, both from a transiting to transiting standpoint, or transits to natal charts for analysis

Seasonality Studies

Seasonality studies to identify times of above-average strength and/or weakness based on historical trends

Sentiment Analysis

Using equity put/call ratios for indices or stocks and/or commonly used sentiment polls to track investor sentiment.

Research and Coverage

Reports

Daily Technical Strategy

Every day, we deliver precise strategies derived from technical analysis, guiding you on potential market moves and insights to position accordingly.

US Dollar index has risen to two-month highs

Near-term and intermediate-term technical trends remain bullish for US Equities, but a few sectors have started to weaken lately, making it right to be more vigilant. Moreover, both Treasury yields and the US Dollar made 2025 lows in September and have gradually been...

GLD
KBE
KRE
QQQ
SLV
SPX
USDJPY
Mark L. Newton, CMT - October 8, 2025

⚡️FlashInsights

In these rapid updates, our expert analysts provide insights on immediate market changes and technical patterns, ensuring you are always one step ahead in the fast-paced world of trading.

Mark L. Newton, CMT
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

This chart from Bloomberg shows the fascinating divergence between what 1year/1year Forward swaps are projecting for the Fed's "Neutral rate" while the Citi Economic Surprise index have been positive in recent months. Thus, the market is pricing in far more cuts thus...

Oct 3
12:53 PM
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Don't look now but the formerly lagging Dow Jones Transportation Avg has made a bullish short-term triangle breakout today that likely can help to jump-start its performance at a time when the market is sorely seeking leadership from areas outside of Technology....

Oct 3
12:31 PM

Weekly Roadmap

End your week with our "Weekly Roadmap", a summary that encapsulates our expert views and closing remarks for the week. This digest is crafted to bring all market happenings and our insights into one coherent context, ensuring you're well-informed and ready for the week ahead.

Stocks’ Meteoric Rally Extends Into the Final Quarter of the Year

"I think empathy is really important, and I think only when our clever brain and our human heart work together in harmony can we achieve our full potential."  ― Jane Goodall (April 3, 1934 – October 1, 2025) ...

RSP
October 3, 2025

Media

Daily Technicals Video

Our webinars bring you face-to-face with our experts as they share the latest market trends and technical analysis, offering an opportunity to clarify your queries in real-time.

US Dollar index has risen to two-month highs

Near-term and intermediate-term technical trends remain bullish for US Equities, but a few sectors have started to weaken lately, making it right to be more vigilant. Moreover, both Treasury yields and the US Dollar made 2025 lows in September and have gradually been...

GLD
KBE
KRE
QQQ
SLV
SPX
USDJPY
Mark L. Newton, CMT - October 8, 2025

Annual Outlook

At the start of each year, our annual outlook provides a comprehensive analysis of existing and potential U.S. policies, forecasting their impact on financial markets and offering actionable strategies for the year ahead.

Mon, Apr 7 4:30 PM ET

Markets in Turmoil: Assessing Where Things Stand

Join us on Monday, April 7 at 4:30 pm ET for a live market update webinar with Fundstrat’s Head of Research, Tom Lee.

Tom Lee
Thomas Lee, CFA

Head of Research

Tom Lee
Mark L. Newton, CMT

Head of Technical Strategy

Tom Lee
L. Thomas Block

Washington Policy Strategist

Archives

Appearances Media Archives

Our researchers frequently appear across various media outlets, sharing their technical analysis and market insights. Our extensive archive ensures you have access to these valuable resources at your fingertips.

What is mean reversion and how to use it

8 months ago

CNBC Media Archives

We understand the importance of media in shaping market perceptions. Our archive of CNBC appearances provides a rich resource of insights shared by our researchers on this prestigious platform.

Long-term market trends remain in very good shape, says Fundstrat’s Mark Newton

8 months ago

Sample Reports

Technical Writeups of Super Granny-shot picks

Summary: I continue to see the US stock market as being attractive, technically speaking, and do not feel sufficient risk is there to warrant a selloff at this time. While price action has been a bit more subdued...

ANET
CDNS
CRM
META
NVDA
March 21, 2024
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

February 2024 Technical Outlook

FOR FULL REPORT, PLEASE CLICK HERE. WHAT LESSONS WE LEARNED FROM JANUARY: * SPX, NASDAQ rally back to new all-time highs was certainly a bullish development despite some evidence of breadth waning.  Equal-weighted SPX, Russell 3k, nor Small...

February 5, 2024
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Latest Publications

US Dollar index has risen to two-month highs

Near-term and intermediate-term technical trends remain bullish for US Equities, but a few sectors have started to weaken lately, making it right to be more vigilant. Moreover, both Treasury yields and the US Dollar made 2025 lows in September...

GLD
KBE
KRE
QQQ
SLV
SPX
USDJPY
October 8, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Consumer Discretionary weakening to new monthly lows

Near-term and intermediate-term technical trends remain bullish for US Equities, but a few sectors have started to weaken lately, making it right to be more vigilant.  Moreover, both Treasury yields and the US Dollar made 2025 lows in...

BWA
CCL
CMG
DHI
F
KMX
QQQ
RSI
RSP
RSPD
SPX
SPY
WYNN
October 7, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

AMD strength outshines broader market churning

Near-term and intermediate-term technical trends remain bullish for US Equities, and the success of Equal-weighted SPX, having joined SPX and QQQ back at new highs this week, likely helps to keep Equity indices up until mid-month before some...

AMD
QQQ
RSI
SMH
SOX
SOXX
SPX
SPY
October 6, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Broadening out should lead to short-term boost into mid-October

Near-term and intermediate-term technical trends remain bullish for US Equities, and the success of Equal-weighted SPX, having joined SPX and QQQ back at new highs this week, should keep this rally going a bit longer.   The DJ Transportation...

AAPL
AMZN
CHRW
CSX
DJIA
IONQ
JBHT
JETS
LSTR
LUV
MAGS
MATX
META
NFLX
NVDA
ODFL
QQQ
R
RSP
SPX
TRAN
TSLA
UNP
UPS
October 3, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Book a Meeting

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