Technical Strategy - Mark L. Newton, CMT

Technical analysis tracks price movement, volume, seasonality, sentiment, and trading flows to identify and project price trends, targets, and exhaustion. Used to seek out attractive risk/reward opportunities and highlight up/down trends in equities, treasuries, currencies, commodities and cryptocurrencies, technical analysis is fundamentals-agnostic and uses the following methodologies.

About the Strategist

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Mark L. Newton, CMT – Head of Technical Strategy

As former managing member/owner of Newton Advisors LLC, Mark has more than 25 years of buy-side and sell-side experience in finance. Before Fundstrat, he worked with Diamondback Capital Management, and with Morgan Stanley in New York City as their technical strategist. Mark has traded equity options as a market maker/floor trader on the CBOE, and worked in risk management. He is a member of the Market Technicians Association, and former member of the CBOE, CBOT, and PHLX. Mark makes regular appearances on CNBC, FOX Business, and Bloomberg. Mark graduated with a BS in Finance from Virginia Tech in 1991, and obtained his Chartered Market Technician designation in 2002.

Our Approach

Trend Identification

On a daily, weekly, and monthly basis

Structural Analysis

Looking at former highs and lows as potentially important for resistance and/or support in trading over multiple time frames

Trendline Utilization

Drawing trendlines extending from the lowest lows to the low preceding the highest highs

Fibonacci Analysis

Using the concept of Fibonacci for retracements in both time and price terms for identifying possible areas of exhaustion

Momentum Analysis

Seeking stocks exhibiting positive momentum for long investments over multiple time frames

Volume Analysis

Noting heavy volume, or lack thereof, in conjunction with price gains to track the duration of a trend

Breadth

Studying the underlying health of a market, especially for broader indices

Ratio charts

Comparing a stock to its industry and/or to an underlying index, such as SPX

Relative Strength

Seeking out stocks exhibiting stellar strength and trading at/within striking distance of 52-week highs (for long stock selection)

Counter-Trend Analysis

Using Tom DeMark's indicators, such as TD Sequential and TD Combo, to identify strong trends possibly on the verge of reversing course: downside to upside or vice-versa

Cycles

Using cycle composites to understand the most commonly seen cycles dictating patterns of low-to-low or high-to-high to help identify highs and lows price-wise

Elliott Wave Theory

Elliott Wave projections can help forecast price targets, using previous highs/lows to identify whether a rally is new and impulsive or represents a counter-trend move

Astro-Analysis

Using cycles of the sun, moon, and the planets to pinpoint highs, lows, and trends for stocks and indices, both from a transiting to transiting standpoint, or transits to natal charts for analysis

Seasonality Studies

Seasonality studies to identify times of above-average strength and/or weakness based on historical trends

Sentiment Analysis

Using equity put/call ratios for indices or stocks and/or commonly used sentiment polls to track investor sentiment.

Research and Coverage

Reports

Daily Technical Strategy

Every day, we deliver precise strategies derived from technical analysis, guiding you on potential market moves and insights to position accordingly.

Value has taken the lead over Growth as year comes to a close

Technical trends for US Equities are bullish, but the large-cap Technology sector has continued to weigh down SPX and QQQ, and should be nearly complete.  Given this past week’s breakouts in IWM, MDY, RSP, and IYT, I’m favoring that this recent choppiness...

AAPL
AVGO
DJIA
GOOGL
IWM
IYT
MSFT
NVDA
RSP
SPX
SPY
Mark L. Newton, CMT - December 12, 2025

⚡️FlashInsights

In these rapid updates, our expert analysts provide insights on immediate market changes and technical patterns, ensuring you are always one step ahead in the fast-paced world of trading.

Mark L. Newton, CMT
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

While a rally in the Japanese Yen should eventually happen as they approach a BOJ rate hike, today's move is a technical negative for the Yen (Positive for $USDJPY ) and should result in a push back to test and exceed November...

Dec 8
12:26 PM
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Note that despite Technology's absolute rise today (+0.22%) and relative outperformance is being led by $JBL $ON $GLW $MPWR $HPE and $MU all up more than +2.5% this morning, while others like NVDA continue to struggle and even $AAPL has shown some...

Dec 8
11:51 AM

Weekly Roadmap

End your week with our "Weekly Roadmap", a summary that encapsulates our expert views and closing remarks for the week. This digest is crafted to bring all market happenings and our insights into one coherent context, ensuring you're well-informed and ready for the week ahead.

Tech Concerns Weigh on S&P 500 Despite Fed Cut, Improved Breadth

"Nobody ever figures out what life is all about, and it doesn't matter. Explore the world. Nearly everything is really interesting if you go into it deeply enough." ― Richard P. Feynman

December 12, 2025
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Kent Fung
Vice President, Market Intelligence

Media

Daily Technicals Video

Our webinars bring you face-to-face with our experts as they share the latest market trends and technical analysis, offering an opportunity to clarify your queries in real-time.

Value has taken the lead over Growth as year comes to a close

Technical trends for US Equities are bullish, but the large-cap Technology sector has continued to weigh down SPX and QQQ, and should be nearly complete.  Given this past week’s breakouts in IWM, MDY, RSP, and IYT, I’m favoring that this recent choppiness...

AAPL
AVGO
DJIA
GOOGL
IWM
IYT
MSFT
NVDA
RSP
SPX
SPY
Mark L. Newton, CMT - December 12, 2025

Annual Outlook

At the start of each year, our annual outlook provides a comprehensive analysis of existing and potential U.S. policies, forecasting their impact on financial markets and offering actionable strategies for the year ahead.

Thu, Dec 11 11:00 AM ET

Tom Lee's 2026 Market Outlook

If you missed our live presentation of Tom Lee’s 2026 Market Outlook, our full replay is now available. In this year’s most important webinar, Tom lays out a framework for...

Tom Lee
Thomas Lee, CFA

Head of Research

Tom Lee
Mark L. Newton, CMT

Head of Technical Strategy

Tom Lee
L. Thomas Block

Washington Policy Strategist

Archives

Appearances Media Archives

Our researchers frequently appear across various media outlets, sharing their technical analysis and market insights. Our extensive archive ensures you have access to these valuable resources at your fingertips.

What is mean reversion and how to use it

10 months ago

CNBC Media Archives

We understand the importance of media in shaping market perceptions. Our archive of CNBC appearances provides a rich resource of insights shared by our researchers on this prestigious platform.

Long-term market trends remain in very good shape, says Fundstrat’s Mark Newton

10 months ago

Sample Reports

Technical Writeups of Super Granny-shot picks

Summary: I continue to see the US stock market as being attractive, technically speaking, and do not feel sufficient risk is there to warrant a selloff at this time. While price action has been a bit more subdued...

ANET
CDNS
CRM
META
NVDA
March 21, 2024
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

February 2024 Technical Outlook

FOR FULL REPORT, PLEASE CLICK HERE. WHAT LESSONS WE LEARNED FROM JANUARY: * SPX, NASDAQ rally back to new all-time highs was certainly a bullish development despite some evidence of breadth waning.  Equal-weighted SPX, Russell 3k, nor Small...

February 5, 2024
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Latest Publications

Value has taken the lead over Growth as year comes to a close

Technical trends for US Equities are bullish, but the large-cap Technology sector has continued to weigh down SPX and QQQ, and should be nearly complete.  Given this past week’s breakouts in IWM, MDY, RSP, and IYT, I’m favoring...

AAPL
AVGO
DJIA
GOOGL
IWM
IYT
MSFT
NVDA
RSP
SPX
SPY
December 12, 2025
reserach-mark image
Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Mid-cap 400 index and DJIA have joined Small-caps at new highs

Technical trends for US Equities are bullish, and I think the price action post-FOMC certainly seems to tilt the odds that a move back to new highs is now likely into year-end.  While META and NVDA’s underperformance has...

DJIA
GEV
IWM
IYT
JBHT
MDY
META
MSFT
NFLX
NVDA
ODFL
ORCL
PCAR
QQQ
RSP
SPX
December 11, 2025
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Equal-weighted SPX and IWM have both made new all-time highs

Technical trends for US Equities are bullish, and I think the price action post-FOMC certainly seems to tilt the odds that a move back to new highs is now likely into year-end.  I had been hopeful for consolidation,...

ALK
CSX
DAL
IWM
IYT
LUV
MDY
ORCL
QQQ
R
RSP
SPX
SPY
December 10, 2025
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

Metals & Mining deserves a second look

Technical trends for US Equities are bullish, but technicals still support the idea of some consolidation in December before a push back to new highs.  Interest rates and the US Dollar have both begun to push higher despite...

FXI
GDX
NEM
SLV
SPX
December 9, 2025
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Mark L. Newton, CMT
Head of Technical Strategy

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