Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund
Wed, October 9, 2024 | 2:42PM ET
NRG1.91% and VST3.87% both lower by more than 4% today as the Power generation stocks start to retreat after huge rallies over the last month. VST had actually surpassed NVDA over the last month to be ^SPX0.22% 's top performing sector and is still up =217.65% vs. NVDA's +165.74% in Year-to-Date terms through 10/9/24. NRG1.91% as shown below, is pulling back and should retest the pivot point of its breakout which I expect to be strong support on this decline.. this should come in between $85.50-$86.50 and provide a counter-trend rally. The key takeaway is that the selling pressure in Utilities remains early to make any larger calls on this sector. On a relative and absolute basis, XLU1.36% and RSPU-0.73% are still trending higher on an intermediate-term basis, and i expect this recent near-term selling pressure should prove short-lived.
Wed, January 31, 2024 | 12:58PM ET
Today's US Equity market outperformance has been all Defensives.. and Utilities have risen back to an area of "make-or-Break" resistance after this bounce. Note, the XLU bounce happened exactly as rates started tumbling this past week- However, I don't suspect this rate move lasts and should start to turn back higher. If this is the case, thanXLU1.36% probably will hold 62.50 and turn back down- but that area near prior swing lows is paramount to this rally continuing and i expect it likely holds, for now. if this 62.50 is exceeded, than a much larger Utility rally is underway which for now, I'm a bit skeptical of. Keep a close eye on TNX.
